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2024-12-13 23:53:15

The gap between Italian and German government bond yields widened to 111 basis points, the highest level in a week.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)US National Security Adviser Sullivan: There are a series of risks in the situation in Syria; We fully expect that Israel's occupation of the Syrian buffer zone is temporary.


Hangzhou real estate new regulations will be implemented tomorrow, and the housing rate will be improved. official website of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Resources issued the Notice of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Natural Resources on Optimizing the Calculation Rules of Floor Area Ratio and Related Indicators of Construction Projects. This notice shall come into force as of December 13, 2024. After the implementation of the transfer project, the transfer project that has obtained the transfer decision and the newly established reconstruction and expansion project shall be implemented in accordance with the requirements of this notice. If the previous relevant policies are inconsistent with this notice, this notice shall prevail. This means that from tomorrow, all the newly-sold homesteads in Hangzhou can enjoy the new regulations on area identification, such as the closed balcony is only half the area, and the open wind and rain corridor is not included. The biggest surprise is the first article of the new regulations, which encourages diversified parking forms to meet the minimum parking standards, such as independent parking buildings, parking spaces under the ground floor overhead platforms and multi-storey parking spaces inside buildings. For cost reasons, some developers will cancel underground parking spaces and change them into ground parking buildings, and the design of traditional residential quarters in Hangzhou will usher in great changes. As a result, the housing rate of new houses in Hangzhou will increase in the future, and developers will not only have more room to build quality supporting facilities in the community, but also greatly increase the saleable value.Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 1%, popular Chinese stock Yum! China rose by 2.8%, bilibili and Baidu rose by over 1.2%, Ali, New Oriental, Ideality, Pinduoduo and Netease rose by at most 1%, and YINN rose by 1.6%.Korean media disclosed the details of the State Council meeting before and after the emergency martial law. According to Yonhap News Agency, the South Korean Ministry of Administration and Security disclosed the relevant information provided by the Presidential Palace on December 11th about the meeting to declare emergency martial law and lift martial law. According to the data, Premier Han Dezhu said that all State Councillors attending the State Council meeting on the evening of the 3rd of this month expressed their opposition to the martial law proposed by President Yin Xiyue, and believed that martial law would have a serious impact on the Korean economy and credit, and would not be accepted by the people. (CCTV International News)


Zhang Yiqun, Vice Chairman of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association: The fiscal deficit will be greatly increased or released over 5 trillion yuan next year, and the Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Zhang Yiqun, deputy director of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association, said that the fiscal deficit will be greatly increased on the basis of 3% this year, and it is estimated that deficit ratio will be in the range of 3.5% to 4% next year, which will release more than 5 trillion yuan of space.The US dollar index DXY rebounded nearly 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.65.Hangzhou real estate new regulations will be implemented tomorrow, and the housing rate will be improved. official website of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Resources issued the Notice of Hangzhou Bureau of Planning and Natural Resources on Optimizing the Calculation Rules of Floor Area Ratio and Related Indicators of Construction Projects. This notice shall come into force as of December 13, 2024. After the implementation of the transfer project, the transfer project that has obtained the transfer decision and the newly established reconstruction and expansion project shall be implemented in accordance with the requirements of this notice. If the previous relevant policies are inconsistent with this notice, this notice shall prevail. This means that from tomorrow, all the newly-sold homesteads in Hangzhou can enjoy the new regulations on area identification, such as the closed balcony is only half the area, and the open wind and rain corridor is not included. The biggest surprise is the first article of the new regulations, which encourages diversified parking forms to meet the minimum parking standards, such as independent parking buildings, parking spaces under the ground floor overhead platforms and multi-storey parking spaces inside buildings. For cost reasons, some developers will cancel underground parking spaces and change them into ground parking buildings, and the design of traditional residential quarters in Hangzhou will usher in great changes. As a result, the housing rate of new houses in Hangzhou will increase in the future, and developers will not only have more room to build quality supporting facilities in the community, but also greatly increase the saleable value.

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